DailyPost 2983
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) MILESTONES PREDICTION
AI started it journey way back in 1956 and through a number of AI winters and inflection points reached a point where it has become a continued inflection all the way. In recent times the journey can be defined by the milestones of Deep Blue, IBM Watson, DeepMind, AlphaGo to the onset of OpenAI and the GPT revolution. The conversational GPT 3.5 to start with, widely known as ChatGPT brought AI to the world centre stage and continues to rule the world scene for over two years now. Simultaneously, lots of AI products were created to change the human digital landscape totally.
With job losses in the offing, future of work being a big concern, AI ethical issues and its capability to take over large tasks in the world without humans understanding it, has made everyone curious to understand the world ahead. Not many can make a sense of the unfolding AI world as Ray Kurzweil. He is a renowned American computer scientist, futurist, inventor, entrepreneur and author. He is known for his predictions in the AI field; optimistic and controversial. Kurzweil’s work for sure has made a significant impact on the field of AI and future studies.
He believes in the concept of technological singularity, which is a hypothetical future in time when technological change is likely to become uncontrollable and irreversible. Exponential growth is the key to his futuristic thoughts basing his premise particularly on Moore’s Law; computing power doubling every two years. His predictions are an optimistic outlook on the future of AI and impact on humanity. It is interesting to understand the five major predictions of Kurzweil. The first being Artificial General Intelligence, AGI, between 2026-2029.
The computing power would enable AI systems to surpass human cognitive capabilities within this timeframe. The second prediction is termed as Longevity Escape Velocity (2030). This means that technological advancements in medicine and biotechnology would outpace the ageing process. The third prediction is of Mind Uploading (2035). Very fascinating indeed. This involves transferring human consciousness or memories into a digital substrate. The fourth prediction is about Space Colonization by 2040, it would be like establishing self-sustaining colonies on other planets, such as Mars. Post-Scarcity Economy by 2045 is the final prediction. It’s a dream future where basic human needs like food, water, and energy are abundant and accessible to all.
SCI-FI LOOKS AS A PALE SHADOW TO THESE PREDICTIONS.
Sanjay Sahay
Have a nice evening.